Weekly Newsletter – 13th June , 2025

Economic and policy risk were at least temporarily relegated to secondary status as geopolitical risk emanating from the war between Israel and Iran took centrestage. We expect financial markets to…

Weekly Newsletter – 6th June , 2025

Last week, the S&P 500 crossed 6,000 marking a bull market in a drama filled week which included a public spat between Donald Trump and Elon Musk and the first…

Weekly Newsletter – 30th May , 2025

Trump’s tariff strategy faces an unexpected speed bump, his “big, beautiful bill” awaits Senate approval and as the 90-day tariff pause deadlines comes closer, the Trump administration has started to…

Weekly Newsletter – 16th May , 2025

Last week started off with a détente in the US-China trade war sending global stocks soaring and US indices paring 2025 losses. Soft US data continued to disappoint, but hard…

Weekly Newsletter – 9th May , 2025

Markets had a relatively calm week. The tone was somewhat optimistic as the Fed acted in line with expectations and there were indications of progress on trade negotiations. The UK…

Weekly Newsletter – 2nd May , 2025

Wall Street saw their longest winning streak since 2004 on the back of a few factors, all having one common factor, Donald Trump. The cherry on top of the cake…

Weekly Newsletter – 18th April , 2025

U.S. stocks drifted lower in a holiday-shortened week amid trade tensions, further investigations into pharma and semiconductor imports, mixed corporate earnings, and Trump’s public criticism of the Fed Chair. Global markets…

Weekly Newsletter – 11th April , 2025

As we expected, Trump announced a 90-day pause on most reciprocal tariffs excluding China, which caused the S&P 500 to jump almost 10% in a single day. However, uncertainty around…

Weekly Newsletter – Sailing Through Choppy Waters

US markets remain under pressure due to uncertainty around Trump’s actions and its effects on the economy. Investors look forward to “Liberation Day” when US announces its overall strategy on…

Weekly Newsletter – 14th March , 2025

The trade war continues to escalate and pressure markets with US indices continuing losses into the 4th week with some respite seen on Friday due to a US government shutdown…

Weekly Newsletter – 7th March , 2025

US markets continue to fret amidst uncertainty around actions of the current administration with markets entering correction territory. The job market remains relatively stable however unemployment rate ticked up in…

Actionable Insight – New Alliances, New Technologies

Policy uncertainty, soft economic data & cracks in the US AI dominance narrative have caused US stocks to take a breather. Europe & Chinese markets have seen appreciation owing to…

Weekly Newsletter – 21th February , 2025

US markets closed the week in red after economic data pointed to slowing business activity and further weakening in consumer sentiment. Adding to the gloom was weak guidance shared by…

Weekly Newsletter – 14th February , 2025

Markets fluctuated amid U.S. inflation data and the ongoing tariff policy uncertainty. Bonds saw heightened intraweek volatility. Chinese stocks rose on AI optimism and an Alibaba-Apple partnership, contrasting with India’s…

Weekly Newsletter – 7th February , 2025

Last week saw several US economic data releases and earnings releases from major players. However, these events were overshadowed by Trump’s announcements which ranged from tariffs on 3 of their…

Weekly Newsletter – 31st January , 2025

US stocks bounced back after the shock from the DeepSeek news early in the week, driven by strong Q4 earnings, particularly from tech stocks. Three of the world’s leading Central…

Actionable Insight – Of Predictions and Preparedness (Part 2)

We are still in the early days of 2025, and year-end projections are already at risk. The narrative around US dominance over the future of AI was challenged by a…

Weekly Newsletter – 17th January , 2025

Major U.S. stock indexes rallied for the week, driven by optimism ahead of Trump’s inauguration on Monday. Investors were encouraged by strong bank earnings and positive economic data, resuscitating bets…

Weekly Newsletter – 10th January , 2025

A surprisingly strong US jobs report fed into fears of sustained inflation, sending Treasury yields soaring and stock prices plummeting. Interest rate cut expectations have been pared to one or…

Weekly Newsletter – 3rd January , 2025

The S&P 500 did not experience a Santa Claus rally this year. Historically, without the rally, the index’s January return has been 5% average full-year return, based on data since…